Why Supercars homolgation teams can (and can't) win multiple races in 2026

In an off-season of change in the Repco Supercars Championship, perhaps one of the most notable changes is to the roster of homologation teams.

Traditional sparring partners Chevrolet and Ford will employ the services of new teams as homologation operations, sparked by Ford's bombshell poaching of Triple Eight from General Motors' ranks.

That left Chevrolet Racing scrambling to find a replacement, and after beating out PremiAir Racing, Team 18 were appointed the new homologation team for GM.

Joining them in the homologation team ranks is Walkinshaw Andretti United, who will lead Toyota's assault on the category in an eagerly anticipated debut.

Supercars.com have predicted that all three teams will win at some point in 2026, and multiple races each at that. Here is why all three can (and can't) make that prediction a reality.

Triple Eight Race Engineering (Ford)

Can: After three tough years with Dick Johnson Racing as Gen3 homologation team, Ford made shockwaves when they lured Triple Eight back across the divide from GM to step in as homologation team. Triple Eight are simply the ultimate benchmark in Supercars, and have been for the last two decades. They haven't dropped in performance swapping brands before, and you can't imagine they would now either.

Can't: It's nearly impossible to envisage a world where Triple Eight don't win multiple races in 2026. They have done so for the past 21 seasons in Supercars, and could very well do it for at least the next 21. However, one challenge could present itself in the form of a new in-house engine program, as Ken McNamara and his KRE Race Engines business elected to stick loyal with Chevrolet. Then again, Triple Eight won't do anything by halves, especially when they're seeking to bounce back.

Team 18 (Chevrolet)

Can: There are plenty of good people GM have kept in the Chevrolet Racing stable, with technical guru Jeromy Moore leaving Triple Eight to remain with the product he helped homologate, former Holden Motorsport boss Simon McNamara returning to the fold as Program Manager, and as mentioned above namesake Ken McNamara maintaining engine supply. A lot of the key Triple Eight pieces remain within the wider Chevrolet stable.

Can't: If Team 18 were to win multiple races in 2026, it would be the first time in the team's history that they would win more than one race in a year. In fact, the team's win tally remains at one, courtesy of Mark Winterbottom at Darwin in 2023. Whilst De Pasquale showed plenty of speed and potential throughout 2025, that simply has to be converted to wins in 2026, especially if they are to lead the charge for Chevrolet.

Walkinshaw TWG Racing (Toyota)

Can: If ever there's a team you want to be entering Supercars with, it's the one that has just won the championship. The former Holden factory squad has been on a constant upwards trajectory since signing Chaz Mostert in 2020, culminating in a dramatic title win last year. Not only will Mostert carry the #1 this season, but teammate Ryan Wood has also developed into one of the genuine superstars of the category in just two seasons. On the team and driver front, the pieces are certainly all there.

Can't: Of the three manufacturers that entered the sport midway through the last decade, only one claimed multiple victories in their first season, namely Volvo in 2014. It's by no means going to be an easy task, especially with the current restrictions on testing through the season, even for a brand as powerful as Toyota. Whilst aerodynamic parity has been achieved over summer in America, there will still be plenty of unknowns heading into the season opener.

The views in this article do not necessarily express the opinions of Supercars, teams or drivers.