The dominant force of the 2026 Repco Bathurst 1000 arrives at Mount Panorama armed with one of the strongest fleets ever assembled for the Great Race.
With six of the top seven drivers, and four of the top five teams in points, you could be forgiven for thinking it's a foregone conclusion that the Blue Oval will finish Bathurst on top. However, that would be severely underselling just how unpredictable the Mountain would be.
Ford snapped a six-year winless streak on the Mountain in extraordinary circumstances last year with Matt Payne and Garth Tander, and Payne returns this year as championship leader alongside new co-driver Will Davison.
However, with the most successful Bathurst team in the last two decades now among the Ford ranks, Payne's biggest threat could come from within.
Is strength in numbers enough?
You could argue that this is the first time since the Ford Sierra Cosworth days of the late 1980s that the Blue Oval carry genuine weight in numbers at Bathurst. 11 Mustangs — six of which are inside the top seven in points — will take on 10 Chevrolet Camaros and the five Toyota GR Supras, as Ford look to go back-to-back for the first time since 2013-14. However, with Toyota surging into form, Chevrolet finishing on the Bathurst podium seven of a possible nine times since 2023, and the sheer unpredictability thrown up by Bathurst, nothing is a certainty.
Will the intra-Ford rivalry finally boil over?
Triple Eight's up-and-down year has paved the way for Penrite Racing to pounce in the teams' pecking order, though Dick Johnson Racing, Tickford Racing, and even the Blanchard Racing Team have all featured towards the pointy end. While there haven't been any major blows between Ford rivals yet this season, Bathurst has something of an unfortunate history of Fords taking each other out in strong positions — think the infamous Chaz Mostert/Cam Waters collision of 2019. Should that happen this year, it could blow the door open for the chasing pack.
Is reliability no longer a concern?
Much like Toyota, there was also a small question mark around the Mustang motors heading into The Bend, after failures for both Matt Payne and Broc Feeney (albeit in the enduro test) at Ipswich. However, it was a clean 500km on the engine reliability front in South Australia. Engine issues have been linked to over-revs on downshifts, with drivers told to avoid doing so, while a potential need to fuel save throughout the race could also raise its own questions. This could be worth keeping an eye on over the course of the weekend.
Can teams work together?
While Chevrolet have trumpeted their new 'Team Chevy' alliance and data pooling among all of their teams, Ford have been driven forward by the rivalry between their respective operations. Save for the Blanchard Racing Team's technical deal as a Triple Eight customer, all Ford teams are firmly running their own ship, and excelling at that. However, with Toyota now seemingly posing a genuine performance threat, and drivers coy on the potential of the Chevrolet package, they might need to band together on track to spoil an upset.
Who is the standout Ford pairing?
Or perhaps the question is rather, is there a standout Ford pairing? Right the way throughout the squadron of Mustangs, there is star quality sprinkled everywhere. The Blue Oval boasts seven Bathurst winners in its line-up, and a further five Supercars race winners who are yet to break through at Bathurst. Throw in storylines such as Brodie Kostecki going for a record-breaking fourth consecutive Bathurst pole, Cam Waters hunting an elusive first Bathurst win, and Triple Eight looking to reclaim their place as top dogs. It's tough to call.
The views in this article do not necessarily express the opinions of Supercars, teams or drivers.