The run home: The drivers in box seat, and drivers under pressure

At the halfway mark of the Repco Sprint Cup part of the season, the cream is beginning to rise to the top.

The top four drivers, Broc Feeney, Will Brown, Matt Payne and Cam Waters, are covered by 91 points, and account for 10 of the 12 wins so far.

The final four rounds of the Sprint Cup will be held at three regular battlegrounds, and one circuit returning for the first time since 2019. Given the points lead has changed four times in the last eight races, there's plenty of anticipation over who will claim the bonus points.

Winning the Repco Sprint Cup gets a driver automatic entry into the Finals, and bonus points to play with at the first elimination event on the Gold Coast. Even if they stumble in the Enduro Cup, they'll be in the Finals, so there's plenty at stake.

As it stands, Feeney leads Brown by 33 points, with Payne and Waters 75 and 91 further back. There is a maximum of 1260 points to be won across the next four rounds, and Feeney is 370 points ahead of 11th. So obviously, no one can confidently say they're in just yet.

There's still plenty of scope for change in the top 10, with drivers from eighth through 13th covered by just 87 points. It was even closer last year, with eighth to 13th covered by just 42 points.

Supercars.com looks at the next four rounds, and which teams look likely to get their drivers into the finals.

Perth

When it comes to qualifying, CARCO.com.au Raceway is as crucial as they come. The last seven races have been won from pole position at the Wanneroo circuit, with 69 of 97 wins coming from the front row of the grid.

Dick Johnson Racing (seven wins) and Triple Eight (five) have won the lion's share of races in the last decade, but it has been an even split in the Gen3 era.

Triple Eight (two), Erebus Motorsport, Walkinshaw Andretti United and Tickford Racing (one each) have all won in Perth since the start of 2023.

Darwin

DJR (10) and Triple Eight (eight) have won 18 of the last 28 Darwin races dating back to 2015, with the latter the clear benchmark in the Gen3 era.

Chevrolet is undefeated in five races at Hidden Valley, with Triple Eight winning three of the last four. Feeney won all three races, and you'd be brave to bet against him at one of his best tracks.

Team 18 and Matt Stone Racing pulled wins out of the fire in 2023, before Feeney swept last year's event. Feeney was one of just two drivers to sweep a round in 2024, alongside Chaz Mostert in Sydney.

Townsville

Triple Eight is the dominant force in Townsville, winning 15 of 27 races between 2015 and 2024. Tickford and DJR won five each, followed by Erebus and Penrite Racing.

Interestingly, Triple Eight hasn't won in Townsville in Gen3. Ford has the running in the Gen3 era, winning the last three races at Reid Park, with Brown and Erebus winning the 2023 opener.

Townsville is the site of DJR's only win in the Gen3 era, courtesy of Anton De Pasquale. DJR has looked closer to wins already in 2025, with Kostecki currently seventh. The Ford squad will be hoping Tasmania was an aberration.

Ipswich

The great question mark is who will step up best at Queensland Raceway, which last hosted Supercars in 2019. For what it's worth, Triple Eight won 13 races between 2009 and 2019, followed by DJR (six) and Tickford (four).

Triple Eight, DJR, MSR and PremiAir have logged thousands of laps in their Gen3 cars at QR, and will have plenty to work with.

Queensland-based teams Triple Eight and DJR won seven of eight races between 2016 and 2019, with Mostert winning for Tickford (then named Prodrive Racing Australia) in 2017.

The hunt for the Sprint Cup, and a Finals berth

While there's apprehension from many over how the rest of the year will play out, particularly with the introduction of the Finals, there's no doubt many other drivers need to get a wriggle on.

Looking to 2024, there was only one change in the top 10 between Round 4 and Round 8, with James Golding jumping up, and Richie Stanaway dropping out. Remarkably, while the order slightly changed, there was no change to the top 10 between Round 8 and Bathurst.

As it stands, the likes of Golding (-15), De Pasquale (-46), Nick Percat (-68), Will Davison (-98) and Jack Le Brocq (-127) are on the outside looking in, but need to make moves over the next four rounds to play themselves into a top 10 position. From 16th down, it's starting to look very difficult.

The current top 10 drivers have accounted for 80 of 120 top 10 race finishes this season, or 67%. It's a resounding number, and one that highlights how drivers from 11th down have to find consistency.

Golding and De Pasquale have seven top 10s in 12 starts. Only Brown, Payne (11 each), Feeney (10) and Waters (nine) have more, but Golding and De Pasquale's bad days have been damaging. The funny one is Percat, who only has four top 10s in 12 starts, but three of them have been podium finishes! Davison and Le Brocq have five and four top 10s.

As for top spot, while Mark Skaife pencilled Feeney in for the Sprint Cup, Garth Tander mused that there could be plenty of change yet. Of the next four rounds, only one team has won at both events in the Gen3 era: Triple Eight in Darwin. While the immediate focus is on Perth, Triple Eight will surely be hoping it can replicate its recent form in the Top End.

The dark horse is Payne, who won twice in New Zealand and, crucially, overturned previous poor form in Tasmania to deny Feeney a Symmons sweep. It was yet more proof that Penrite Racing may truly be the consistent force that could mount a genuine title challenge. The fans agree, with Feeney and Payne the clear leaders in a Supercars.com poll.

The next steps in the Repco Sprint Cup will be taken in Perth on June 6-8. Tickets on sale now.

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