All of a sudden, time is running out for some drivers to make a big impression and get their foot in the door for the Finals.
The top six drivers in the championship are now well clear of the cut-line, which is occupied by Brad Jones Racing driver Andre Heimgartner.
It's tight from seventh down, and the order could change completely courtesy of one race result.
There are still five rounds left in the Repco Sprint Cup segment of the season, with this weekend's Snowy River Caravans Tasmania Super 440 marking the midway point.
With 315 points up for grabs in Tasmania, which drivers are looking over their shoulder, which drivers are on the attack, and which drivers need a big weekend to fight their way in? Supercars.com breaks it down.
Cameron Hill
Position: 7th
Difference to 10th: +24
Cameron Hill is having a standout season in 2025, winning in Melbourne and claiming a podium in New Zealand. However, there are no guarantees, and the Matt Stone Racing driver is still only 24 points above the cut-line. Hill has a great record at Symmons Plains, but a poor result could leave him vulnerable.
Anton De Pasquale
Position: 8th
Difference to 10th: +3
Anton De Pasquale is having a stellar start to life at Team 18, but should be much further above the cut-line. The Victorian is just three points ahead of 10th, and benched a swag of points due to pit stop disasters in the final two Taupō races.
Thomas Randle
Position: 9th
Difference to 10th: +1
After finishing third in the first race of the season, Thomas Randle has been on a wild ride, and sits just one point ahead of 10th. The Tickford Racing driver's average finish between Race 2 in Sydney and Race 8 in New Zealand was 13.8. He clawed back two top six finishes to round out Taupō on a high, but needs to stay on it.
Andre Heimgartner
Position: 10th
Andre Heimgartner is having a more consistent time of it in 2025, and it's showing with an improvement on his average race finish relative to last year. However, he's the guy in 10th at the moment. With seventh position just 24 points ahead, Heimgartner could drastically improve his standing with a strong weekend. If he falters, if could be severely damaging.
Will Davison
Position: 11th
Difference to 10th: -37
Brodie Kostecki is enjoying life at the Shell V-Power Racing Team, and has rejuvenated Will Davison. The two-time Bathurst winner has made sure he isn't out of it, and is just 37 points from 10th, which is impressive considering he started 2025 with finishes of 21st and 24th in Sydney.
Ryan Wood
Position: 12th
Difference to 10th: -48
One of the real wildcards of this year's championship, Ryan Wood is having a big crack. First-lap penalties in Melbourne and Taupō have undone what could have been top fives at worst, and wins at best. Instead, he's 48 points from 10th, and will be keen to piece together a clean weekend.
James Golding
Position: 13th
Difference to 10th: -109
James Golding and PremiAir Racing haven't fired a shot in 2025, and the net result is 13th after three rounds, 109 points behind 10th. Golding needs a big weekend to make his presence felt in the Finals chase, and he'll have to overcome a poor record in Tasmania to make it happen. In nine starts at Symmons Plains, Golding has an average finish of 13.3.
Nick Percat
Position: 14th
Difference to 10th: -117
Matt Stone Racing driver Nick Percat was the biggest loser in New Zealand, dropping from 10th to 14th overall. he was level with Heimgartner after Melbourne, and is now 117 points behind. Percat won in Tasmania last year, and needs a similarly impressive result this weekend to keep pace.
Jack Le Brocq
Position: 15th
Difference to 10th: -127
With three top 10s in nine starts, and a DNF in Melbourne, 2025 hasn't been kind to Jack Le Brocq and Erebus Motorsport. Le Brocq knows how to go fast in Tasmania, qualifying in the top 10 for nine of his 15 starts. Last year, he raced to fifth in the action-packed finale.
Kai Allen
Position: 16th
Difference to 10th: -154
Along with Wood, rookie Kai Allen has offering a glimpse of what he's capable of. Through three rounds, the 2023 Super2 champion is 16th and 154 points down, but was a regular of the top 10 in New Zealand. If Penrite Racing has overturned its Gen3 wobbles in Tasmania, Allen could play himself into contention.
2025 Finals Watch after Round 3
After 2025 ITM Taupō Super 440
Pos. | Driver | Gap to 10th |
---|---|---|
1st | Brown | +225 |
2nd | Waters | +191 |
3rd | Payne | +179 |
4th | Feeney | +164 |
5th | Mostert | +139 |
6th | Kostecki | +114 |
7th | Hill | +24 |
8th | De Pasquale | +3 |
9th | Randle | +1 |
10th | Heimgartner | - |
11th | Davison | -37 |
12th | Wood | -48 |
13th | Golding | -109 |
14th | Percat | -117 |
15th | Le Brocq | -127 |
16th | Allen | -154 |
17th | Evans | -187 |
18th | Courtney | -207 |
19th | Fullwood | -209 |
20th | Jones | -216 |
21st | Reynolds | -220 |
22nd | Stanaway | -229 |
23rd | Murray | -258 |
24th | Cameron | -327 |